Wednesday, April 23, 2008

RBS Cash Call



On 22-Apr-08 the Royal Bank of Scotland said that it planned to raise 12 billion pounds ($23.7 billion) through right issue.

The Right issue or the sale of shares to existing shareholders is an attempt by RBS to restore its capital base.

The rights issue marks an embarrassing U-turn for the bank.

Less than two months ago, the bank said it did not need to raise capital.

On 22-Apr-08, Sir Fred said the cash was required because "the world had changed".

RBS deserves credit for being the first U.K. bank to admit it needs significant help from shareholders.

The issue, which will be sold at a 46% discount to21-Apr-08 share price, will swell the share count 60%. To top it off, the bank will cut its cash dividend per share.

The bank said the rights issue would raise its Tier-1 capital ratio — a measure of financial strength — to 8 percent and its “core” Tier-1 capital ratio — the most liquid type of capital and a key measure of financial strength — to 6 percent by the end of 2008. The minimum for U.S. banks to be viewed as well-capitalized by regulators.

Pressure is mounting on Goodwin and the bank's chairman Sir Tom McKillop following £12bn call cash. RBS board is letting Mr. Goodwin stay. His supporters think the bank needs him for the integration of ABN.

The chairman Tom McKillop defended the chief executive Fred Goodwin, saying “our executive team has all the ability to steer the bank through this tricky period in financial markets.”

The bank has announced the appointment of three extra non-executive directors, in what some have seen as a move to reduce Sir Fred's dominance.

RBS's credit ratings came under pressure, with Fitch Ratings cutting one notch to AA and Moody's Investors Service warning it could strip the bank of its Aaa rating. Standard & Poor's said it maintained a negative outlook on the bank.

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Wednesday, April 9, 2008

Banks Suffer Reputational Loss

The credit crisis has provided an opportunity for mid-sized and regional banks that avoided its worst effects to take business away from the large banks.

In a survey of 300 companies across the world taken prior to the collapse of Bear Stearns, the only two large I-banks whose reputations have been enhanced by their performance throughout the crisis are, unsurprisingly, JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs.

All other large banks have seen their reputations decline or, at best, were unscathed.

Geographically, US companies thought higher of regional banks such as Wells Fargo and foreign banks with small US franchises such as Royal Bank of Scotland/ABN Amro.
Financial News Online .. Banks Suffer Reputational Loss

Thursday, April 3, 2008

Underwriting: Q1- 08


Citigroup Inc missed its title as the world's largest underwriter of stocks and bonds for the first time in more than six years, said Thomson Financial.

According to Thomson, Securities underwriting volume fell by 45% from a year earlier to $1.27 trillion, and fees collected by I- banks fell 47% to $5.8 billion.
JPMorgan Chase & Co was the top underwriter in the first quarter. JPMorgan arranged $129.4 billion of offerings, winning a 10.2 percent share.

Citigroup followed with $94.7 billion of offerings and a 7.5 percent share.

Deutsche Bank AG was third, with $91.8 billion of offerings and a 7.2 percent share.

Reported fees fell by 7% to $3.38 billion from $3.65 billion.

Citigroup led in that area with a 15.6 percent share, followed by Bank of America Corp's 8.9 percent and Goldman Sachs Group Inc's 7.8 percent. JPMorgan was fourth.

Wall Street bankers said Citigroup's fall from first place partly reflected a change in strategy by its new management. Citigroup in a statement said it manages its business "for productivity and profitability rather than league table position."

Bear Stearns Cos, a fixed-income specialist that agreed to a takeover by JPMorgan following liquidity problems, ranked 18th in underwriting and 23rd in reported fees.

Merger volume, meanwhile, fell 41 percent worldwide and 56 percent in the United States, Dealogic said last week, suggesting lower need for future bond and loan offerings.

"There was a total contraction in credit," said Richard Peterson, director of capital markets at Thomson. "We don't know if there are more hidden time-bombs. The market is sensing there could be more."

Tuesday, April 1, 2008

Regulation To Boost Costs And Cut Profits

Investment banks' invitation to borrow at the Fed's discount window will ``come with a price tag,'' Gross wrote on Pimco's Web site today.

Leverage and gearing ratios of securities firms will in a few years resemble those of commercial banks - resulting in reduced profitability for major houses.

Goldman Sachs Group Inc., Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. and Merrill Lynch & Co. will earn less and face higher borrowing costs because of increased regulation of investment banks, Pacific Investment Management Co.'s Bill Gross said.

These banks will likely be forced to raise expensive capital and/or reduce the bottom line footings of their balance sheets.

This will be costly, and bond spreads as well as stock prices should begin to reflect it.

Bloomberg – Fed Rules to Cut Wall Street Profits, Boost Costs, Gross Says

Guardian - New Capital Raising To Be Costly For Banks

Deutsche Hit by $4 Billion Write-Down in Q1-08

Deutsche Bank expects first-quarter write-downs of 2.5 billion euros, ($4 billion) related to leveraged loans and loan commitments, commercial real estate, and residential mortgage-backed securities

Deutsche Bank said as it had indicated on Earlier (Mar 26) that 'markets remained difficult early in 2008', adding that 'conditions have become significantly more challenging during the last few weeks.'

Deutsche Bank expects a BIS Tier 1 capital ratio at the end of the first quarter 2008 of between 8 and 9 percent, consistent with the bank's published targets.
For the rest of 2008, the risks for the banking industry are accumulating, especially for those firms, such as Deutsche Bank, with significant exposure to the U.S. markets.

Citigroup in Banking Overhaul

Vikram Pandit said an internal memo on March 5 that he planned to ``reengineer businesses to more directly address the needs of our clients.'' The review is scheduled to be completed in May.

Citigroup said it would set up an independent credit-card unit and overhaul consumer banking along geographical lines.

The bank said it has reorganized its consumer group into two global businesses - a consumer banking division and a global cards unit.

Steven Freiberg, the current co-head of consumer banking, will run the card unit, which accounted for 62 percent of total consumer revenue last year.

The rest of the group, mainly bank branches and non-bank lending, will be led in the U.S. by Terri Dial, hired from Lloyds TSB Group PLC, and four regional chiefs outside the U.S.

Citigroup has 8,500 consumer branches, stretches across more than 100 countries and has more than 300,000 employees worldwide.

The announcement prompted some observers to speculate about a potential sale or public offering.

In a press release, Citi said the latest changes would allow the company to “focus its resources towards growth in emerging and developed markets and improve efficiencies throughout the company.”

Profit at Citigroup's consumer unit fell 35 percent last year to $7.87 billion as rising delinquencies on mortgages and auto loans forced the bank to set aside more reserves for losses.

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